COE Insights

Analysis

Cat A COE Hits $133,009: What September 2026 Results Mean for Buyers

Cat A reached $133,009 on 9 September. We examine the $1,992 gap to Cat B, bidding pressure and what the results mean for buying, waiting and renewal.

12 Sep 2026 · 9 min read

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Analysis

April 2026 COE Results: First Exercise Rises Across All Categories

The 8 April exercise lifted all five premiums. Compare the verified changes from March’s second exercise and separate results from explanations.

8 Apr 2026 · 2 min read

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Analysis

Q1 2026 COE Category Spreads: Convergence, Inversion and Limits

Compare paired category premiums across the first quarter and distinguish certificate-price gaps from differences in complete car packages.

7 Apr 2026 · 2 min read

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Analysis

Q1 2026 COE Review: Category A Rose as Category B Ended Lower

Review January–March 2026 premiums with exact start-to-end changes, February’s A–B inversion and the correct quota-period distinction.

4 Apr 2026 · 2 min read

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Analysis

Do Private-Hire Cars Raise COE Prices? What the Official Data Says

Use MOT’s August 2026 registration figures and assessment, while separating PHV fleet size, submitted bids and the clearing-price mechanism.

31 Mar 2026 · 3 min read

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Analysis

May–July 2026 COE Quota: More for B, Less for A and D

The total allocation rose to 19,052, but category changes differed. Compare all five categories with February–April and read the official formula.

27 Mar 2026 · 2 min read

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Analysis

March 2026 COE Results: Both Rounds and the A–B Spread

Compare both March 2026 COE exercises, their changes and the Category A–B spread, with a clear distinction between auction results and explanations.

14 Mar 2026 · 3 min read

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Analysis

2026 COE Category Review: Confirmed Rules and Open Questions

Separate the ongoing category review from approved changes, and identify the details buyers would need before adapting a purchase plan.

14 Mar 2026 · 2 min read

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Analysis

Category A at $111,890 in March 2026: What Changed for Buyers

Category A reached $111,890 on 18 March 2026. A closer look at the premium, category spread and the costs buyers still need to compare.

4 Mar 2026 · 4 min read

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Analysis

PARF Before and After the 2026 Change: Rates, Caps and Worked Examples

Compare the adjacent PARF cohorts at the same age and actual ARF, including cases where the monetary cap changes the result.

4 Mar 2026 · 3 min read

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Analysis

COE Prices Through Crises: How to Read the Historical Evidence

Compare COE results around economic disruptions while accounting for category changes, suspended exercises and the difference between correlation and cause.

27 Feb 2026 · 3 min read

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Analysis

Budget 2026 and Car Ownership: What the PARF Change Actually Does

Identify the new PARF cohort, distinguish later resale effects from upfront ARF, and keep separate EV announcements on their correct timeline.

19 Feb 2026 · 3 min read

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